Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
66.62% ( 0.54) | 18.64% ( 0) | 14.75% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( -1.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.8% ( -1.22) | 37.2% ( 1.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.59% ( -1.33) | 59.4% ( 1.32) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.65% ( -0.21) | 10.35% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.17% ( -0.47) | 33.82% ( 0.47) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.09% ( -1.48) | 37.91% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% ( -1.46) | 74.69% ( 1.46) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.86% Total : 66.61% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.64% | 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |