Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
40.94% ( -0.41) | 25.38% ( 0.33) | 33.68% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.92% ( -1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.18% ( -1.47) | 47.82% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.99% ( -1.37) | 70% ( 1.36) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -0.84) | 23.19% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( -1.24) | 57.08% ( 1.24) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.8% ( -0.66) | 27.19% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.39% ( -0.87) | 62.61% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.01% Total : 33.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |