Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
41.49% | 27.33% | 31.17% |
Both teams to score 48.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.55% | 77.44% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.21% | 26.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.92% | 62.07% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% | 33.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% | 69.78% |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |