Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Angers | 38 | -11 | 41 |
15 | Troyes | 38 | -16 | 38 |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lens |
35.71% ( 0.02) | 27.98% ( 0) | 36.31% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.86% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.82% ( -0.01) | 58.18% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.17% ( -0) | 78.83% ( 0.01) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.99% ( 0.01) | 31.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.68% ( 0.01) | 67.32% ( -0.01) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% ( -0.02) | 30.63% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.12% ( -0.02) | 66.87% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.71% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |