Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.84%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Dijon |
68.11% | 20.16% | 11.73% |
Both teams to score 42.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% | 50.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.26% | 72.74% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.05% | 13.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.57% | 41.43% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.83% | 51.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.54% | 85.46% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 14.06% 2-0 @ 13.84% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 6.09% 4-0 @ 4.48% 4-1 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.04% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.27% Total : 68.1% | 1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 3.11% Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.16% | 0-1 @ 4.78% 1-2 @ 3.16% 0-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.19% Total : 11.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |