Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
75.96% | 15.93% | 8.11% |
Both teams to score 41.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% | 43.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.35% | 9.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.79% | 32.21% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.23% | 53.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.87% | 87.13% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 14.18% 1-0 @ 12.13% 3-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 6.46% 4-1 @ 4.01% 5-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.99% Total : 75.95% | 1-1 @ 7.53% 0-0 @ 5.19% 2-2 @ 2.73% Other @ 0.48% Total : 15.93% | 0-1 @ 3.22% 1-2 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |