Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lorient |
63.81% ( 0.37) | 20.43% ( -0.05) | 15.76% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.58% ( -0.34) | 43.42% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.18% ( -0.34) | 65.82% ( 0.34) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.07% ( 0) | 12.92% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.63% ( 0) | 39.37% ( 0) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( -0.61) | 40.45% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( -0.56) | 77.06% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lorient |
2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 63.8% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |