MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 09:24:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lens logo

Nantes
0 - 1
Lens


Kadewere (27'), Douglas (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Costa (48')
Danso (82'), Aguilar (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lens
Sunday, January 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 0-1 Lens

While history suggests Nantes have the upper hand in this contest, we believe the overall form of Lens and their balance across the board will enable them to end a lengthy winless drought versus La Maison Jaune at Stade de la Beaujoire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.

Result
NantesDrawLens
31.55% (1.569 1.57) 26.92% (-0.135 -0.13) 41.53% (-1.433 -1.43)
Both teams to score 50.28% (1.06 1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.23% (1.045 1.05)54.77% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (0.859 0.86)76.08% (-0.86 -0.86)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (1.675 1.68)32.05% (-1.675 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (1.864 1.86)68.52% (-1.864 -1.86)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.271 -0.27)26% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.365 -0.37)61.02% (0.365 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 31.55%
    Lens 41.52%
    Draw 26.92%
NantesDrawLens
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.308 0.31)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.235 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.189 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.435 -0.44)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 41.52%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lens

Nantes
13.3%
Draw
26.7%
Lens
60.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lens
4-0
Nantes
Sotoca (27' pen., 72' pen.), Medina (58'), El Aynaoui (89')
Wahi (68')

Comert (68'), Duverne (83')
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nantes
2-1
Lens
Delort (31' pen., 59' pen.)
Fofana (28')
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 24
Lens
3-1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
Mollet (40')
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 35
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')
Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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