MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 17:10:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 6pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Montpellier

Lyon
1 - 4
Montpellier

Lacazette (69')
Diomande (13'), Lepenant (29'), Barcola (45+4'), Tagliafico (83')
Lacazette (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nordin (20'), Al Tamari (39', 66'), Adams (89')
Kouyate (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Le Havre
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-2 Montpellier HSC

Given what happened on the opening weekend, we expect Lyon and Montpellier to serve up an entertaining spectacle at the Groupama Stadium, with a high-scoring draw looking like the most probable outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
49.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.75% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.43% (0.011000000000003 0.01)37.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)59.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.71% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (0.016999999999996 0.02)60.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 49.34%
    Montpellier HSC 28.06%
    Draw 22.59%
LyonDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 49.34%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.06%

How you voted: Lyon vs Montpellier

Lyon
71.4%
Draw
17.9%
Montpellier HSC
10.7%
28
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Lacazette (31', 59', 82', 90+10' pen.), Lovren (70')
Wahi (40', 41', 53', 55')
Oct 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Wahi (70')
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
Apr 23, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 34
Lyon
5-2
Montpellier
Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')
Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-1
Lyon

Ferri (68')
Paqueta (17')
Slimani (29'), Caqueret (40'), Boateng (45'), Palmieri (67')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lyon
1-2
Montpellier
Paqueta (45+1')
Savanier (20'), Wahi (65')
Ristic (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!