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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
AC Ajaccio

Lyon
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')
Lopes (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:
    Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lyon
    Saturday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Ajaccio

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
      Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2

      We said: Lyon 3-0 Ajaccio

       One can only begin to imagine the murmurs of discontent which will become apparent if Lyon fail to kick off the opening day with a convincing win, but we do not expect any shocks at the Groupama Stadium. Pantaloni already has experience of managing in the top level and has a wealth of veteran players with knowledge of the top flight, but their steadfast defending from 2021-22 will count for nought against a reinvigorated Lyon crop, and their goalscoring problems will not be solved overnight either. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.84%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

      Result
      LyonDrawAjaccio
      63.24% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 20.91%15.84% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
      Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      54.63% (-0.012 -0.01)45.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      32.29% (-0.012 -0.01)67.71% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
      Lyon Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.7%
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)
      Ajaccio Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      58.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)41.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      21.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)78.02% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
      Score Analysis
          Lyon 63.22%
          Ajaccio 15.85%
          Draw 20.91%
      LyonDrawAjaccio
      1-0 @ 11.3%
      2-0 @ 11.23%
      2-1 @ 9.88%
      3-0 @ 7.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
      4-0 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      4-1 @ 3.25%
      3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
      5-0 @ 1.47%
      4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      5-1 @ 1.29%
      Other @ 2.8%
      Total : 63.22%
      		1-1 @ 9.94%
      0-0 @ 5.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      Other @ 0.94%
      Total : 20.91%
      		0-1 @ 5%
      1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
      0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
      2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
      Other @ 1.73%
      Total : 15.85%

      How you voted: Lyon vs Ajaccio

      Lyon
      91.3%
      Draw
      5.4%
      Ajaccio
      3.4%
      149
      Head to Head
      Feb 16, 2014 1pm
      Lyon
      3-1
      Ajaccio
      Fofana (43'), Briand (68'), Gomis (90')
      Ferri (72')
      Oliech (81')
      Perozo (29'), Tonucci (78')
      > Match Report
      Sep 25, 2013 6pm
      Ajaccio
      2-1
      Lyon
      Arrache (18'), Demba Camara (70')
      Goncalves (10'), Arrache (19'), Lasne (53'), Demba Camara (92'), Belghazouani (94'), Grenier (94')
      Malbranque (56')
      Malbranque (41'), Lacazette (94')
      Lacazette (95')
      > Match Report
      Feb 3, 2013 1pm
      Ajaccio
      3-1
      Lyon
      Belghazouani (57'), Mutu (65', 90' pen.)
      Mutu (34'), Mostefa (66'), Oliech (89')
      Lacazette (53')
      Ghezzal (63'), Martial (90')
      Lovren (90')
      > Match Report
      Sep 16, 2012 4pm
      Lyon
      2-0
      Ajaccio
      Lovren (25'), López (74')
      Grenier (14')

      Bouhours (13'), Mutu (69')
      May 12, 2012 3pm
      Ajaccio
      1-1
      Lyon
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
      2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
      3Lille331610750321858
      4Brest331610750341658
      5Nice32159837251254
      6Lens33148114335850
      7Lyon33155134754-750
      8Marseille321211950391147
      9Rennes331210115244846
      10Toulouse331110124243-143
      11Reims32118133946-741
      12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
      13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
      14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
      15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
      16Metz3385203556-2129
      17Lorient3368193866-2826
      RClermont33510182655-2925
      > Ligue 1 Full Table


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