Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
37.53% | 28.41% | 34.06% |
Both teams to score 46.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.18% | 59.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.9% | 80.1% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.3% | 30.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.05% | 66.95% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.07% | 32.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% | 69.5% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |