Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
42.55% | 28.14% | 29.32% |
Both teams to score 45.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.05% | 59.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.8% | 80.2% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.13% | 27.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.52% | 63.48% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.56% | 36.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.77% | 73.23% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |