Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
41.51% | 26.87% | 31.63% |
Both teams to score 50.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.47% | 54.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.12% | 75.89% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% | 25.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% | 60.89% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% | 31.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% | 68.32% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.4% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |