Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dijon | Draw | Marseille |
24.69% | 26.47% | 48.84% |
Both teams to score 47.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.44% | 56.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% | 77.54% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.54% | 38.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.79% | 75.21% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% | 23.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% | 57.11% |
Score Analysis |
Dijon | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 13.03% 0-2 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.69% 1-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |