Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
61.34% | 20.66% | 17.99% |
Both teams to score 55.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.59% | 40.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.21% | 62.78% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.29% | 12.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.08% | 38.91% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% | 35.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% | 72.72% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.84% 3-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-0 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.34% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-1 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.58% Total : 17.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |