Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monaco.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Monaco |
27.35% ( 0.38) | 23.97% ( 0.21) | 48.67% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 57.29% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.49% ( -0.67) | 44.5% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.12% ( -0.66) | 66.87% ( 0.65) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( -0.06) | 29.79% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.13% ( -0.08) | 65.87% ( 0.08) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.6% ( -0.49) | 18.4% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% ( -0.84) | 49.54% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.2% Total : 27.35% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.45% Total : 48.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |