An injury-hit Monaco backline could be there for the taking this weekend, and having come so close yet so far to stealing a point off of PSG, Brest can feel confident of troubling Monaco in a similar vein.
However, any similar defensive lapses akin to the opening 30 minutes against the champions could prove fatal for Les Pirates, who will likely struggle to fight Monaco's fire with as much fire in a third successive defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
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