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Leeds logo
Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Sheffield United logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Sheff Utd

Harrison (12'), Jagielka (49' og.)
Rodrigo (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Osborn (45+2')
Lundstram (4'), McGoldrick (43')

Preview: Leeds United vs. Sheffield United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leeds United will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in the Premier League and climb into the top half of the division when they host Sheffield United on Saturday.

The Whites beat Fulham 2-1 prior to the international break, while the Blades went down 5-0 to Leicester City in their most recent league outing.


Match preview

Leeds United's Stuart Dallas celebrates scoring their second goal with Luke Ayling and teammates on February 23, 2021© Reuters

Only twice since the end of September have Leeds won successive league matches, but that will be the aim for Marcelo Bielsa's side this weekend against the division's worst team.

Patrick Bamford was the star of the show at Craven Cottage two weeks ago with a goal and an assist for Raphinha in United's 2-1 victory.

That win leaves Leeds 11th in the table, two points behind Aston Villa directly above them and a further point behind ninth-placed Arsenal.

It has been an impressive first campaign back in the top flight for the Whites, and Bielsa will be eager to keep the momentum going with just nine more games to play.

After this visit of bottom side Sheffield United, though, Leeds have a daunting run of fixtures against Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur in four of their next five games.

Three of those matches are at Elland Road, where Leeds have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four games, which is as many as their previous 27 top-flight games there.

Billy Sharp celebrates scoring for Sheffield United against Newcastle United in the Premier League on January 12, 2021© Reuters

Putting three points on the board this weekend is important, then, but the Blades will also be keen to give their supporters something be positive about with a Yorkshire derby win.

The visitors have already thrown in the towel with regards to their survival prospects following a run of six defeats in seven games, failing to score in all but one of those losses.

Indeed, Sheff Utd have scored a league-low 16 Premier League goals this season and have the lowest shot conversion rate in the division, netting just 6.56% of their attempts.

That latest league reverse at the hands of Leicester leaves them 14 points adrift of safety with just 21 points left to play for, effectively meaning that they may need to win every match from this point on.

United's last match before the international break was a 2-0 loss to Chelsea in the FA Cup quarter-finals, so it is now a case of crossing off their remaining league matches and waiting for their relegation fate to be confirmed.

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Sheffield United Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Sheffield United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L


Team News

Patrick Bamford celebrates scoring for Leeds United against Burnley in the Premier League on December 27, 2020© Reuters

Rodrigo Moreno missed the win at Fulham with a minor injury, but the two-week hiatus has given the forward a chance to rest up and he should be back available here.

Liam Cooper is another doubt for Leeds due to illness, while Adam Forshaw and Pablo Hernandez are definitely out.

Centre-back Diego Llorente played 45 minutes for Spain during the international break, while Ezgjan Alioski played a full part in North Macedonia's shock win over Germany on Wednesday, but both men are expected to start on Saturday.

Bamford scored the only goal in Leeds' 1-0 win at Bramall Lane in the reverse fixture - the last Leeds player to score home and away against Sheff Utd in the same league season was Peter Swan in 1987-88.

As for the visitors, who are being managed by Paul Heckingbottom until the end of the campaign following Chris Wilder's departure, they will hope to have a couple of key players back from injury.

John Egan and Chris Basham are closing in on a return, as is midfielder Sander Berge, while Enda Stevens is another pushing for inclusion despite withdrawing from the Republic of Ireland squad.

With Billy Sharp carrying an injury, Oli McBurnie and David McGoldrick may get the nod to lead United's attack.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Ayling, Llorente, Struijk, Alioski; Raphinha, Phillips, Dallas, Harrison; Roberts, Bamford

Sheffield United possible starting lineup:
Ramsdale; Basham, Egan, Ampadu; Baldock, Lundstram, Norwood, Fleck, Stevens; McGoldrick, McBurnie


SM words green background

We say: Leeds United 2-0 Sheffield United

Sheffield United have won their last two away league games against Leeds and are seeking a third in a row in this fixture for the first time ever.

The Blades are now effectively playing for pride alone, though, whereas Leeds have a tangible target to aim for - finishing in the top half.

Given Leeds' strong defensive record at home of late, combined with the visitors' terrible scoring return, we are backing a routine victory for the Whites on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 13.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Leeds vs Sheff Utd

Leeds United
92.6%
Draw
1.9%
Sheffield United
5.6%
54
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Tables header RHS
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CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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