Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Falkirk in this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
30.59% ( -0.01) | 23.74% ( -0) | 45.67% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.52% ( -0) | 41.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.12% ( -0.01) | 63.88% ( 0.01) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( -0.01) | 26.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% ( -0.01) | 61.08% ( 0.01) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% ( 0) | 18.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.43% ( 0.01) | 49.57% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.55% Total : 45.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 89 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 69 | 27 | 42 | 71 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 55 |
4 | Montrose | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 50 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 46 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 38 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 37 | 95 | -58 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |