Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
69.3% ( -0.23) | 17.66% ( 0.11) | 13.04% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% ( -0.18) | 36.54% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.31% ( -0.2) | 58.68% ( 0.2) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.48% ( -0.1) | 9.52% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.09% ( -0.24) | 31.91% ( 0.24) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.1% ( 0.07) | 39.9% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.44% ( 0.07) | 76.56% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.27% Total : 69.3% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.66% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 13.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 96 | 28 | 68 | 90 |
2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 74 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 56 |
4 | Montrose | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 58 | 57 | 1 | 53 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 49 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 63 | -15 | 44 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 39 |
9 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 39 |
10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |