MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 23:00:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Toulouse

Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse


Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')
FT

Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Marseille
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Toulouse

While Toulouse have made a decent start to the season, we expect Marseille to maintain their unbeaten record by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulouse
52.16% (-1.01 -1.01) 23.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.72% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 57.64% (1.192 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (1.041 1.04)42.89% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (1.024 1.02)65.3% (-1.023 -1.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (1.412 1.41)30.99% (-1.411 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (1.624 1.62)67.29% (-1.621 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.16%
    Toulouse 24.72%
    Draw 23.11%
MarseilleDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.425 -0.42)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.202 0.2)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille
89.6%
Draw
6.3%
Toulouse
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Toulouse
2-3
Marseille
Dallinga (3'), Onaiwu (87')
Mbemba (52'), Under (59'), Tavares (78')
Dec 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
6-1
Toulouse
Rongier (13'), Nicolaisen (41' og.), Kolasinac (51'), Payet (61'), Under (80' pen.), Tavares (82')
Van den Boomen (66' pen.)
Feb 8, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Marseille
1-0
Toulouse
Payet (51')
Gonzalez (15')

Makengo (61'), Sylla (71')
Nov 24, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Marseille

Sangare (32'), Isimat-Mirin (63'), Amian (86')
Moreira (41')
Benedetto (76'), Radonjic (79')
Strootman (70'), Radonjic (80'), Kamara (82')
May 18, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 37
Toulouse
2-5
Marseille
Leya Iseka (26'), Gradel (61')
Jullien (22')
Sanson (29'), Sakai (50'), N'Jie (76'), Thauvin (90')
Amavi (39'), Rami (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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