Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
We said: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Since being stunned by Annecy in the Coupe de France at the start of March, Marseille have lost just one of their 13 home matches since, and they will expect to keep that run going here.
Lille are a team in form though, especially domestically, and after seeing off Monaco last week, they will have the confidence to pick up a result at the Velodrome, despite it typically being an unhappy hunting ground.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.34% . A win for Lille had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24% .
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%) . The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Marseille Draw Lille 45.34% ( -0.01) 24.03% ( 0) 30.63% ( 0)
Both teams to score 59.33% ( -0.01)
57.18% ( -0.01) 42.82% ( 0.01)
34.78% ( -0.01) 65.22% ( 0.01)
80.92% ( -0.01) 19.08% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.31% ( -0.01) 50.69% ( 0.01)
73.32% ( -0) 26.67% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.08% ( -0) 61.92%
Marseille 45.34%
Lille 30.63%
Draw 24.03%
Marseille Draw Lille 2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.98% 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 45.34% 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.03% 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.63%
How you voted: Marseille vs Lille
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rhs 2.0
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