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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Bournemouth logo

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Bournemouth

Rogers (45+1'), Diaby (57'), Bailey (78')
Cash (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solanke (31' pen.)
Smith (21'), Senesi (37'), Zabarnyi (55')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth in Sunday afternoon's Premier League contest at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 59.75%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 3-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
59.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 19.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 20.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.45% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.61% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.28% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.25% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)10.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.72% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.9% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)64.78% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 59.75%
    Bournemouth 20.4%
    Draw 19.85%
Aston VillaDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 20.4%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Bournemouth

Aston Villa
76.6%
Draw
16.2%
Bournemouth
7.2%
167
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Bournemouth
2-2
Aston Villa
Semenyo (10'), Solanke (52')
Kluivert (12'), Semenyo (17'), Senesi (45+4'), Christie (54'), Kerkez (84')
Bailey (20'), Watkins (90')
Torres (29'), Zaniolo (43'), Duran (84')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
3-0
Bournemouth
Luiz (7'), Ramsey (80'), Buendia (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bournemouth
2-0
Aston Villa
Lerma (2'), Moore (80')
Smith (39'), Pearson (45+2'), Billing (73')

Ings (23'), Ramsey (45+3'), Luiz (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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