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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Stockport County |
25.5% | 23.08% | 51.43% |
Both teams to score 58.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.04% | 41.96% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.64% | 64.36% ( 0) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% ( 0) | 29.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% | 65.96% ( 0) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( 0) | 16.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.95% | 46.06% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 6.47% 1-0 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 4.82% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.63% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
> League Two Full Table |