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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
30.91% ( 0.92) | 27.45% ( 0.49) | 41.64% ( -1.42) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% ( -1.52) | 56.98% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( -1.23) | 77.88% ( 1.23) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( -0.12) | 33.65% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( -0.13) | 70.3% ( 0.13) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( -1.44) | 26.97% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( -1.93) | 62.31% ( 1.93) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.91% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 2% Total : 41.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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