Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Levante had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Levante win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Levante |
62.18% | 20.37% | 17.46% |
Both teams to score 55.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.02% | 39.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.65% | 62.35% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% | 12.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.85% | 38.15% |
Levante Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.7% | 36.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.92% | 73.08% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Levante |
2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.37% 3-1 @ 6.93% 3-0 @ 6.84% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 5.04% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-1 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |