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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 30, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Valladolid logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Real Valladolid

Junior (65')
Casemiro (78'), Marcelo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruno (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Real Valladolid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Real Valladolid for their first La Liga home game of the campaign.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash with Real Valladolid.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.3%) and 3-0 (11.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawReal Valladolid
74.98%16.77%8.26%
Both teams to score 39.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53%46.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25%68.76%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26%10.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.31%34.7%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.48%55.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.81%88.19%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 74.97%
    Real Valladolid 8.26%
    Draw 16.77%
Real MadridDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 14.84%
1-0 @ 13.3%
3-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 6.16%
4-1 @ 3.63%
5-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.07%
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 74.97%
1-1 @ 7.83%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 16.77%
0-1 @ 3.51%
1-2 @ 2.3%
0-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 8.26%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 8pm
Aug 24, 2019 6pm
Mar 10, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 3, 2018 3.15pm
May 7, 2014 8pm
Valladolid
1-1
Real Madrid
Baraja (85')
Bergdich (26'), Mitrovic (89'), Jimenez (90'), Baraja (90')
Ramos (35')
Isco (27'), Morata (61'), Illarramendi (76'), Pepe (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe341013114147-643
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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