Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
27.43% | 28.05% | 44.52% |
Both teams to score 45.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.43% | 80.57% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% | 38.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% | 75% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.94% | 27.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.57% | 62.43% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.61% Total : 27.43% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 13.52% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |