Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
24.4% | 30.63% | 44.97% |
Both teams to score 36.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.58% | 69.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.14% | 86.86% |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.82% | 46.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.14% | 81.86% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% | 31.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 4.31% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.4% | 0-0 @ 14.43% 1-1 @ 12.96% 2-2 @ 2.91% Other @ 0.31% Total : 30.61% | 0-1 @ 16.78% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-3 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |