Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
47.02% | 27.02% | 25.97% |
Both teams to score 46.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.35% | 57.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.58% | 78.42% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% | 24.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% | 59.02% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% | 37.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% | 74.71% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |