MX23RW : Friday, May 10 19:09:23| >> :60:29:29:
Zambia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
Konkola Stadium
Uganda national football team

Zambia
3 - 0
Uganda

Daka (6' pen., 69'), Sakala (63')
Sunzu (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Zambia and Uganda.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Zambia
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Uganda
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
ZambiaDrawUganda
47.32% (0.778 0.78) 28.62% (-0.101 -0.1) 24.06% (-0.68 -0.68)
Both teams to score 41.18% (-0.301 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.94% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)64.05% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.77% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)83.22% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.357 0.36)27.33% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.46100000000001 0.46)62.78% (-0.464 -0.46)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67% (-0.698 -0.7)43.33% (0.695 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43% (-0.588 -0.59)79.57% (0.586 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 47.32%
    Uganda 24.06%
    Draw 28.61%
ZambiaDrawUganda
1-0 @ 15.36% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 47.32%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 11.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Zambia vs Uganda

Zambia
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Uganda
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Zambia
3-1
Uganda
Kambole (38'), Mulenga (63'), Kapumbu (71')
Tembo (45'), Samu (59'), Kambole (80')
Nsibambi (40')
Lwanga (70'), Muleme (86')
rhs 2.0
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