Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de France
France4 - 1Scotland
The Match
Match Report
Benjamin Pavard scores twice as France come from behind to beat Scotland 4-1 in a friendly at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Tuesday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between France and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Tuesday's international friendly against Scotland.
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 1-2 France
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
2 | Greece | 7 | 6 | 12 |
3 | Netherlands | 6 | 3 | 12 |
4 | Republic of Ireland | 7 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Gibraltar | 6 | -21 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result | ||
France | Draw | Scotland |
70.5% ( 0.09) | 18.26% ( -0.14) | 11.25% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.35% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% ( 0.74) | 44.08% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.53% ( 0.72) | 66.47% ( -0.72) |
France Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.73% ( 0.23) | 11.27% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.14% ( 0.5) | 35.87% ( -0.5) |
Scotland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.23% ( 0.57) | 47.77% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.94% ( 0.42) | 83.06% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
France 70.49%
Scotland 11.25%
Draw 18.26%
France | Draw | Scotland |
2-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.54% Total : 70.49% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.69% Total : 18.26% | 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.25% |
How you voted: France vs Scotland
France
74.5%Draw
12.8%Scotland
12.8%47
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2016 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-10 01:24:37
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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