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Stoke logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leyton Orient

Stoke
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Ince (43'), Campbell (89')
Duhaney (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Leyton Orient

Regardless of which team O'Neill selects on Sunday, Orient will fancy their chances of an upset. Nevertheless, Stoke should be able to come through this tie in what could prove to be a routine afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
49.69%25.17%25.14%
Both teams to score 51.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72%51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88%73.11%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77%53.22%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.92%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.68%
    Leyton Orient 25.14%
    Draw 25.17%
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leyton Orient

Stoke City
80.0%
Draw
8.9%
Leyton Orient
11.1%
45
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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