MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 16:29:20| >> :120:10138:10138:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
North Macedonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena
Ukraine national football team

N. Macedonia
2 - 3
Ukraine

Bardhi (31' pen.), Elmas (39')
Ristovski (8'), Musliu (54'), Shishkovski (90+5')
Musliu (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zabarnyi (62'), Konoplya (67'), Tsygankov (83')
Dovbyk (45+1'), Mykolenko (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between North Macedonia and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: N. Macedonia 1-0 Faroe Islands
Monday, March 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Ukraine

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Ukraine
Monday, June 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: North Macedonia 1-2 Ukraine

 While Germany dominated the possession and shooting statistical columns against Ukraine, Rebrov's side punished their hosts' lackadaisical defending and can be relied upon to do the same against a waning North Macedonia outfit. The manner of the hosts' wins over the Faroe Islands and Malta in March were far from convincing, and we can only picture Ukraine ending the Lynxes' winning sequence to kick-start their bid for a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawUkraine
41.72% (-2.026 -2.03) 28.4% (0.478 0.48) 29.88% (1.545 1.55)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.552 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.35% (-1.064 -1.06)60.65% (1.062 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.27% (-0.809 -0.81)80.73% (0.80799999999999 0.81)
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-1.601 -1.6)28.66% (1.599 1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-2.043 -2.04)64.48% (2.043 2.04)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61% (0.637 0.64)36.39% (-0.639 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.82% (0.64 0.64)73.17% (-0.64099999999999 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 41.72%
    Ukraine 29.87%
    Draw 28.38%
North MacedoniaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.276 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 13.17% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 10.42% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.585 0.58)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.196 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.384 0.38)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.87%

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Ukraine

North Macedonia
18.6%
Draw
9.3%
Ukraine
72.1%
86
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
2-1
N. Macedonia
Yarmolenko (29'), Yaremchuk (34')
Shaparenko (43')
Alioski (57')
Velkovski (59'), Avramovski (83')
> Match Report
Oct 9, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
N. Macedonia
0-2
Ukraine

Brdarovski (45'), Zhuta (58')
Seleznyov (59' pen.), Kravets (87')
Khacheridi (9'), Sydorchuk (36')
> Match Report
Oct 12, 2014 5pm
Qualifiers
Ukraine
1-0
N. Macedonia
Sydorchuk (45')
Fedeckyj (42'), Sydorchuk (45'), Rotan (72'), Budkivsky (86')

Jahovic (30'), Damcevski (39'), Trajkovski (59'), Abdurahimi (63'), Velkoski (93')
> Match Report
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