We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 3-0 Liechtenstein
Bosnia's golden touch may have eluded them during June's pair of defeats, but Kodro's men ought to get back on track without breaking too much of a sweat this week.
With Dzeko enjoying a hot streak of form domestically and the potential for a new manager bounce for the hosts, Liechtenstein will travel home surely ruing yet another chastening loss.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 96.68%. A draw had a probability of 3% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (17.38%) and 2-0 (14.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.08%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (0.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.
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