Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
