Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
PAOK5 - 1Dinamo Zagreb
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Aris
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 5-2 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, March 10 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, March 10 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
We said: PAOK 2-1 Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb win 3-2 on aggregate)
PAOK certainly have the quality to run their visitors close and challenge the two-goal deficit on Thursday, but Dinamo Zagreb showed themselves to be resilient against difficult opposition when they got past Real Betis, and we fancy them to make their lead count and scrape through to the quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
44.27% ( -0.02) | 24.43% ( -0) | 31.3% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
