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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heerenveen |
35.7% | 23.88% | 40.42% |
Both teams to score 61.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.55% | 40.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.17% | 62.83% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% | 22.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.81% | 56.19% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% | 20.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% | 52.6% |
Score Analysis |
VVV-Venlo | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.7% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-1 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3% Total : 40.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |