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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.34% | 21.36% | 60.29% |
Both teams to score 54.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% | 43.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% | 65.43% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% | 37.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% | 73.89% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.15% | 13.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.78% | 41.22% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 5.09% 2-1 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 2.52% 3-1 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.34% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 0-0 @ 5.14% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.36% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 0-2 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-3 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 6.56% 0-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 3.24% 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.28% Other @ 3% Total : 60.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |