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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
37.29% ( 0.08) | 25% ( 0.04) | 37.71% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.34% ( -0.16) | 45.66% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.02% ( -0.15) | 67.98% ( 0.15) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.89% ( -0.03) | 24.11% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.59% ( -0.04) | 58.41% ( 0.04) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.14) | 23.88% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( -0.19) | 58.08% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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