MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 17:40:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Heerenveen

Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen

Driouech (18'), Parrott (24'), Lamprou (63')
Lamprou (34'), Driouech (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Haye (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-2 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-1 Heerenveen

Excelsior will be low on confidence following their exit of the KNVB Cup at the hands of second-tier side Groningen in their last fixture. Heerenveen battled back to earn a point at Zwolle last time out, and we are expecting the same result for the visitors on Friday night in Rotterdam. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
31.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 23.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 44.72% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 61.67% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.11499999999999 0.11)39.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.11799999999999 0.12)62.35% (-0.122 -0.12)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.043000000000006 0.04)59.1% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (0.072000000000003 0.07)18.2% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (0.124 0.12)49.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 31.73%
    Heerenveen 44.72%
    Draw 23.53%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 44.72%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Heerenveen

SBV Excelsior
28.0%
Draw
28.0%
Heerenveen
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Heerenveen
0-3
Excelsior

Hall (19'), van Beek (35'), Kohlert (56'), Walemark (81')
Driouech (21'), Agrafiotis (45+2'), Parrott (88')
Horemans (68'), Zagre (81')
May 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Heerenveen
0-0
Excelsior
Nunnely (64'), Bruma (78'), Bochniewicz (90+3')
El Yaakoubi (66'), Kharchouch (73')
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 22, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Excelsior
3-3
Heerenveen
Messaoud (12', 51'), Bruins (42')
Bulthuis (49'), Thorsby (59'), Hornkamp (92')
Thorsby (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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