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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
40.7% ( -0.15) | 23.58% ( -0.02) | 35.71% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 62.85% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.01% ( 0.12) | 38.99% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.69% ( 0.12) | 61.31% ( -0.12) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( -0.02) | 19.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.61% ( -0.03) | 51.39% ( 0.02) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( 0.14) | 21.91% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( 0.21) | 55.17% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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