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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
44.42% | 25.88% | 29.69% |
Both teams to score 52.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.65% | 51.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.83% | 73.17% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% | 23.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% | 56.85% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% | 31.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% | 68.02% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.38% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |