MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 22:47:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen
0 - 2
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
de Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
Sugawara (54'), Reijnders (59'), Karlsson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, January 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Vitesse
Saturday, January 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar's away record speaks for itself, so it is difficult to imagine that they will not get a positive result here. The hosts will put up a decent fight, but we expect the away side to prevail with all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
34.47% (-1.041 -1.04) 25.94% (-0.07 -0.07) 39.59% (1.117 1.12)
Both teams to score 54.21% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.175 0.18)50.1% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.155 0.16)72.07% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.544 -0.54)27.81% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.703 -0.7)63.4% (0.707 0.71)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.682 0.68)24.9% (-0.677 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.935 0.94)59.52% (-0.93 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 34.47%
    AZ Alkmaar 39.59%
    Draw 25.94%
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.47%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.211 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.141 0.14)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.075 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.59%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs AZ

Heerenveen
24.0%
Draw
16.0%
AZ Alkmaar
60.0%
25
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
Aug 29, 2021 3.45pm
Feb 14, 2021 11.15am
AZ
3-1
Heerenveen
Stengs (20'), Koopmeiners (47' pen.), Gudmundsson (81')
Hatzidiakos (60')
Schone (54')
Paul van Hecke (46'), Kongolo (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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