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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
58.03% | 20.84% | 21.13% |
Both teams to score 60.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.58% | 36.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.44% | 58.56% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% | 12.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.72% | 38.28% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% | 30.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% | 66.67% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.55% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.16% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 3.78% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-1 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |