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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
56.09% ( 0.52) | 21.8% ( -0.16) | 22.11% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% ( 0.33) | 39.67% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.98% ( 0.34) | 62.02% ( -0.34) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.96% ( 0.28) | 14.04% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.4% ( 0.54) | 41.6% ( -0.54) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.57% ( -0.13) | 31.43% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.19% ( -0.15) | 67.81% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 22.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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