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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
40.15% | 25.72% | 34.13% |
Both teams to score 54.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% | 49.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% | 71.28% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% | 24.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% | 58.55% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% | 27.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.87% | 63.13% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |