Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 81.94%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
