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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.03% | 25.63% | 26.34% |
Both teams to score 51.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.79% | 52.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% | 73.92% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% | 21.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% | 54.92% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.34% | 34.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.62% | 71.38% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |