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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PSV

Almere City
0 - 4
PSV


Akujobi (28')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Til (26'), Lozano (42'), Veerman (66'), Pepi (90+3')
Boscagli (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 PSV
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Almere City 0-4 PSV Eindhoven

PSV should easily bounce back from their disappointing display in midweek by beating one of the favourites for relegation. Having already lost 4-1 here against Twente and 6-1 at Feyenoord, there is not much down for Almere, who are expected to fall to a fifth defeat from six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
20.9% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.27% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 58.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.66% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)33.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.14% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.86% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.23% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)11.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)36.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 20.9%
    PSV Eindhoven 58.83%
    Draw 20.27%
Almere CityDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 4.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 20.9%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.87% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.83%

How you voted: Almere City vs PSV

Almere City
4.8%
Draw
14.3%
PSV Eindhoven
81.0%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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